Justice done in the Bundesliga....
May 19, 2026
Borussia Dortmund and VfB Stuttgart both secured the positions we were looking for, a respective second and top 4 spot , being our two preseason bets ( see below). For my money they were the two best teams after Bayern. The Dortmund case is clear enough, Stuttgart perhaps less so, but they went deep in the Europa League and have made the DFB Pokal final for the second season in a row and played 13 games more than Leipzig, but those thoughts are really for next season, so make sure that you get to see my preseason write ups and, like last summer, I intend to preview all 20 EPL and all 18 Bundesliga teams.
| 2025/26 | Overall | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||||
| P | W | D | L | F | A | Gdf | Pts | Form | P | W | D | L | F | A | P | W | D | L | F | A | ||||
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | +86 | 89 | WWXW | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | ||
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | +36 | 73 | WWLW | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | ||
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | +19 | 65 | LWLW | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | ||
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | +22 | 62 | XWXX | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | ||
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | +13 | 61 | LWXW | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | ||
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | +21 | 59 | XLWW | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | ||
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLXL | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | ||
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | XLLX | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | ||
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | LWWX | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | ||
Written pre-season....
VfB Stuttgart
Stuttgart have finished 9-15-16-2-9 since returning to the Bundesliga and that second place in 23/24 was their highest since winning the title in 2006/07. They were a breath of fresh air the season before last with 78 goals and 73 points, a first Champions League campaign in 15 years was too much last season, but they retained a goal threat and 64 scored was 8 more than anyone else outside the top 4. Further encouragement comes by way of xP (+8 points) and xGF (+7 goals) and the latter only puts them 7 adrift of that fine 23/24 campaign. They also won the DFB-Pokal last season, that gives them Europa League football, but it is not the distraction that the CL was and they will be more used to a European campaign now. They have been active in the market, with five in and five out, but they sold one to Saudi for a largish fee and overall, it feels like good business. Head coach Sebastian Hoeness remains despite being much admired, he has had 100 games at the helm, through which they have scored an average of 2.10 goals per game, guiding them to the Champions League, second place and winning some silverware, it is a great CV. I am a pretty big fan and early in that 23/24 campaign I wrote ......Stuttgart play with great joy under Sebastian Hoeness who was the first coach to win Germany's third tier with a reserve team, his record at Hoffenheim looks great with hindsight and having saved Stuttgart last season, he has completed the about turn and got them playing with gay abandon in possession.
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund are traditionally Bayern's biggest rival and they have finished top 4 nine times in the last decade, five times runner up, but no title success since they won back to back in 2010/11 and 2011/12. They came on strong in the second half of last season with 32 points, which was second only to Bayern and they won 9 of their final 12 starts, with a 34-13 goal difference. They signed two young players for good fees from English clubs in Jobe Bellingham and Yan Couto, which they are making a habit of and also sold another to another, with Jamie Gittens joining Chelsea for about the same (total) fee.
Almost impossible to see beyond a title win for Bayern and I have some doubts about Leverkusen, Freiburg, Mainz and Bremen. Also RBL to a degree as performances were so bad last season, but no European football should help them and they will surely improve. Dortmund look good for top 2 and would be my pick. I see Stuttgart as the big potential improver from last season and 9th was not a true reflection of how they played at all and with doubts concerning so many teams who finished above them 4.33-5.0 for a top 4 finish appeals.
I will stick with ......
3 units Borussia Dortmund without Bayern Munich @ 2.75 general quote.
3 units VfB Stuttgart to finish top 4 @ 4.33-5.0 general quote, I would bet a shade more at the upper end of that price band.
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